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2005-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 85.8% 14.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 75.2% 24.8% - โœ—
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 โœ— (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.6% 27.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine O'Neal * 38 10-23 0-0 4-7 11 0 0 1 3 24 10 -
Jeff Foster * 38 4-6 0-0 0-0 15 0 2 0 0 8 19 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 36 10-18 3-9 5-6 8 9 1 0 4 28 24 -
Reggie Miller * 32 2-6 0-2 6-6 0 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
Fred Jones * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 6 4 -
James Jones * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 -
Austin Croshere * 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -2 -
Michael Curry * 13 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Anthony Johnson * 12 1-5 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lee Nailon * 46 13-22 0-0 4-6 10 2 1 0 0 30 21 -
Dan Dickau * 36 7-13 0-2 3-5 5 5 2 0 2 17 14 -
Rodney Rogers * 36 4-8 0-3 4-4 8 2 0 2 5 12 11 -
JR Smith * 30 2-8 0-0 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 7 3 -
P.J. Brown * 29 2-7 0-0 4-4 8 3 0 0 3 8 9 -
Chris Andersen * 23 3-3 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 3 2 9 18 -
Bostjan Nachbar * 19 0-5 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 1 0 -
Junior Harrington * 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
Matt Freije * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter