Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | +3.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (114-124). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 45 | 12-19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 24 | - |
| David Wesley * | 44 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 37 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andre Barrett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reece Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 10-18 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 42 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 39 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter