Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (94-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 42 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 39 | 9-23 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mike James * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Devin Brown | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter