Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | +3.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (85-86). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| David Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 43 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 6-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter