Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 41 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 30 | 6-21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 38 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rafael Araujo * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter