Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (113-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Reed | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter