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2004-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (107-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 34 5-13 1-2 5-5 5 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
Jiri Welsch * 32 4-6 2-3 0-3 5 2 1 0 0 10 12 -
Ricky Davis * 29 8-11 1-2 4-5 5 5 1 0 6 21 15 -
Gary Payton * 26 5-11 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 10 3 -
Mark Blount * 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 3 1 6 5 -
Marcus Banks * 21 3-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
Raef LaFrentz * 19 4-7 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 10 9 -
Al Jefferson * 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Tony Allen * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Walter McCarty * 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 0 -
Kendrick Perkins * 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 1 1 0 4 -
Justin Reed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Parker * 35 11-17 2-3 3-4 5 6 3 0 4 27 20 -
Tim Duncan * 33 6-13 0-0 2-4 11 4 2 2 1 14 19 -
Devin Brown * 33 5-11 4-5 3-3 6 2 0 0 0 17 14 -
Bruce Bowen * 27 6-13 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 15 6 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Manu Ginobili * 25 4-8 0-2 3-3 3 3 2 0 3 11 8 -
Robert Horry * 18 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 1 1 8 11 -
Malik Rose * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
Brent Barry * 15 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
Beno Udrih 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -
Mike Wilks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter