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2004-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 โœ— (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gilbert Arenas * 49 11-25 1-6 14-15 6 7 1 0 1 37 25 -
Larry Hughes * 43 15-21 0-1 3-6 5 6 2 0 1 33 24 -
Antawn Jamison * 41 9-21 1-3 3-4 7 2 0 0 1 22 9 -
Jared Jeffries * 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 1 1 8 9 -
Brendan Haywood * 23 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 4 2 0 3 13 -
Kwame Brown * 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 8 5 -
Jarvis Hayes * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Anthony Peeler * 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 5 7 -
Michael Ruffin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 50 9-22 3-7 15-22 10 14 2 1 5 36 36 -
Lamar Odom * 45 5-11 0-1 5-6 10 1 0 1 2 15 14 -
Chucky Atkins * 44 9-17 5-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 23 9 -
Brian Cook * 37 5-10 3-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Caron Butler * 35 8-17 1-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 17 9 -
Jumaine Jones * 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Chris Mihm * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 5 0 3 -
Tierre Brown * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Luke Walton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter