Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +17 (100-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 28 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 25 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Luis Flores * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 12-25 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 33 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter