Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 4-21 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 43 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 32 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anderson Varejao | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 4 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Eric Snow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 42 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ronald Dupree * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Horace Jenkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter