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2004-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% +6.0 โœ— (12.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ—
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 โœ— (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -6 (86-92). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 45 14-22 1-3 2-4 5 8 7 0 3 31 26 -
Jeff McInnis * 43 6-14 3-6 3-4 5 7 0 0 1 18 15 -
Drew Gooden * 33 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 7 0 1 3 11 16 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 33 4-12 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 1 4 11 5 -
Ira Newble * 24 4-6 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 9 7 -
Lucious Harris * 17 0-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
DeSagana Diop * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Eric Snow 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Scott Williams 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
Anderson Varejao 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 39 8-14 0-0 3-9 7 5 0 0 7 19 10 -
Mike Miller * 37 6-11 3-3 1-1 3 6 0 1 0 16 15 -
Shane Battier * 37 1-4 1-2 2-3 1 3 1 2 0 5 8 -
Earl Watson * 34 2-9 1-2 0-0 4 7 1 1 3 5 6 -
Lorenzen Wright * 27 8-11 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 2 16 14 -
Stromile Swift * 25 4-10 0-0 5-6 2 1 1 1 2 13 6 -
James Posey * 18 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 5 1 -
Antonio Burks * 13 3-3 0-0 1-1 1 3 2 0 1 7 9 -
Dahntay Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jake Tsakalidis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter