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2004-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 6.4% 93.6% - โœ—
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.1 โœ— (33.1 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 17.9% 82.1% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -16 (72-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antoine Walker * 42 5-13 2-5 1-2 9 3 3 0 5 13 10 -
Predrag Drobnjak * 38 8-12 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 16 12 -
Al Harrington * 31 7-12 0-1 1-2 2 4 2 1 4 15 8 -
Josh Smith * 27 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 4 1 12 15 -
Boris Diaw * 26 1-5 0-2 0-1 6 3 0 0 3 2 3 -
Tony Delk * 21 6-10 4-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 16 8 -
Kenny Anderson * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 8 1 0 0 2 13 -
Josh Childress * 20 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Jason Collier * 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 2 4 8 4 -
Kevin Willis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 42 3-7 0-1 1-4 12 0 3 2 1 7 16 -
Richard Hamilton * 42 7-21 0-3 10-13 6 4 2 0 4 24 11 -
Tayshaun Prince * 38 6-13 1-2 1-2 7 2 1 1 2 14 10 -
Darko Milicic * 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 4 4 4 -
Chauncey Billups * 24 2-9 2-5 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 8 4 -
Elden Campbell * 19 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Lindsey Hunter * 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
Horace Jenkins * 14 3-9 0-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 2 10 -1 -
Darvin Ham * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carlos Delfino * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter