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2004-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 91.1% 8.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Margin 76.8% 23.2% -6.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 43 10-19 5-7 0-0 3 7 2 1 2 25 17 -
Shawn Marion * 43 7-16 3-6 2-3 9 4 3 3 2 19 20 -
Steve Nash * 40 5-13 2-6 0-0 6 10 2 0 3 12 14 -
Quentin Richardson * 39 6-19 5-13 4-4 7 4 2 0 0 21 15 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 39 7-10 0-0 9-11 10 2 1 0 4 23 22 -
Steven Hunter * 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Leandro Barbosa * 13 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Casey Jacobsen * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Bo Outlaw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 45 7-23 4-10 2-3 14 11 2 0 8 20 16 -
Caron Butler * 40 7-15 2-5 3-3 10 2 1 0 2 19 15 -
Lamar Odom * 38 9-14 0-0 1-1 12 2 0 2 2 19 19 -
Chucky Atkins * 35 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 4 3 0 0 7 6 -
Chris Mihm * 27 8-12 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 1 1 18 14 -
Brian Cook * 24 7-17 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 16 0 -
Jumaine Jones * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 4 9 -
Tierre Brown * 13 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 7 5 -
Luke Walton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter