Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +23 (109-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Harpring * | 37 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kirk Snyder | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aleksandar Radojevic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter