Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (89-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Malik Rose | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter