Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (94-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 28 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Robert Horry | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter