Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Robert Horry | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devin Brown | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 31 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Mike Miller | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter