Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +28 (110-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 29 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 32 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 31 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rodney White * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter