Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | -6.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (96-91). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Devin Brown | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 44 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 41 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 19 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Moiso * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter