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2004-11-19

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics Spread Result
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 36 8-13 0-0 10-13 6 3 2 3 1 26 26 -
Tony Parker * 36 7-12 1-4 1-4 3 5 1 0 2 16 11 -
Bruce Bowen * 27 1-5 0-2 0-2 1 4 1 0 0 2 3 -
Manu Ginobili * 27 7-11 4-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 3 21 12 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 23 1-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 2 4 -
Devin Brown * 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 6 4 -
Brent Barry * 20 2-6 2-5 1-2 2 6 0 1 0 7 10 -
Malik Rose * 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 5 9 -
Robert Horry * 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 5 -
Beno Udrih * 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Tony Massenburg 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
Mike Wilks 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Payton * 41 7-14 0-2 2-2 5 8 2 0 4 16 13 -
Paul Pierce * 37 8-12 1-3 8-9 3 2 1 0 3 25 16 -
Ricky Davis * 35 2-7 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
Mark Blount * 33 3-9 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 1 3 7 7 -
Raef LaFrentz * 25 3-8 2-4 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
Al Jefferson * 23 6-12 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 13 8 -
Jiri Welsch * 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Tom Gugliotta * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Tony Allen * 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Marcus Banks * 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Kendrick Perkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Walter McCarty 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter