Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -19 (82-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 30 | 11-18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 25 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 33 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Geno Carlisle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter