Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 44 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 43 | 8-25 | 3-8 | 18-20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 21 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 41 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 49 | 8-24 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 47 | 8-25 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 44 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Laron Profit * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter