Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (112-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Van Horn * | 53 | 10-23 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 50 | 9-22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 46 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 43 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasual Butler * | 53 | 8-24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 44 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-17 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter