Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -15 (88-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devin Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 34 | 9-21 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Josh Smith | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter