Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | -3.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -4.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (114-109). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 50 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 48 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 47 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 29 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maciej Lampe | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 48 | 13-24 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 33 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 41 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter