Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher * | 46 | 6-23 | 0-6 | 11-13 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 44 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 40 | 11-25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 44 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 5-22 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter