Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (112-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Shane Battier | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 23 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 24 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter