Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (106-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 9-21 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 38 | 6-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Childress | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jerome James * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Swift | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter