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2004-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (91-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 45 13-30 0-2 8-9 8 3 1 0 4 34 12 -
Juan Dixon * 42 11-20 2-5 4-4 3 4 5 1 4 28 17 -
Jarvis Hayes * 40 5-16 1-4 9-10 9 3 1 0 4 20 13 -
Michael Ruffin * 39 2-4 0-0 2-6 11 4 1 7 0 6 25 -
Laron Profit * 33 3-7 2-4 3-4 7 6 2 0 3 11 16 -
Jared Jeffries * 28 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 2 1 0 2 4 9 -
Samaki Walker * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Peter John Ramos 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bonzi Wells * 35 9-17 1-3 0-3 4 2 2 1 2 19 9 -
Pau Gasol * 33 4-8 0-0 9-14 9 5 0 0 1 17 22 -
Stromile Swift * 33 7-15 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 4 2 15 13 -
Jason Williams * 26 4-11 1-6 1-2 3 2 3 0 5 10 2 -
James Posey * 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Earl Watson * 22 1-8 0-1 0-0 3 8 0 0 2 2 3 -
Brian Cardinal * 15 4-7 0-1 5-6 5 2 2 0 2 13 13 -
Jake Tsakalidis * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Shane Battier 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Mike Miller 13 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 3 1 -

* = starter