Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 39 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 20 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 12-19 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 30 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter