Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 40 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 45 | 12-21 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Hunter * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter