Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 36 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 30 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 45 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 37 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Travis Hansen * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter