Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Brown * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 25 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mitchell Butler | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 42 | 13-28 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 40 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter