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2004-04-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +14 (105-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrell Armstrong * 43 6-13 4-10 5-5 8 5 3 0 5 21 19 -
Jamaal Magloire * 40 5-12 0-0 10-12 13 1 0 0 8 20 14 -
P.J. Brown * 26 1-7 0-0 4-4 6 2 1 1 4 6 5 -
George Lynch * 25 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
Stacey Augmon * 23 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 0 -
Maurice Carter * 22 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
Robert Traylor * 22 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 12 11 -
Shammond Williams * 19 4-10 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 9 3 -
Steven Smith * 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
David West * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peja Stojakovic * 44 9-13 5-9 3-3 4 3 1 0 4 26 17 -
Doug Christie * 40 6-10 1-3 2-2 6 5 2 1 3 15 16 -
Brad Miller * 38 7-9 0-0 6-6 10 1 2 2 2 20 24 -
Chris Webber * 37 9-17 0-0 6-7 7 6 0 0 1 24 19 -
Mike Bibby * 32 5-13 1-4 2-2 1 4 4 0 5 13 4 -
Anthony Peeler * 28 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 4 3 0 3 5 8 -
Vlade Divac * 12 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Darius Songaila * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter