Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Richie Frahm * | 20 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 41 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter