Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 41 | 8-23 | 2-9 | 11-12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Travis Hansen * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter