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2004-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (99-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Jefferson * 48 10-18 0-0 8-9 14 5 2 0 7 28 24 -
Rodney Rogers * 43 6-16 1-6 0-0 8 4 3 2 3 13 11 -
Lucious Harris * 41 7-15 1-4 9-9 6 7 1 0 3 24 20 -
Kerry Kittles * 35 8-15 1-4 1-2 3 1 2 1 1 18 9 -
Aaron Williams * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 2 1 4 7 -
Jason Collins * 19 0-0 0-0 3-4 6 1 3 0 0 3 13 -
Brian Scalabrine * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Kenyon Martin * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 4 6 -
Zoran Planinic * 11 0-3 0-0 3-6 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Anthony Goldwire * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 -2 -
Tamar Slay * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Brandon Armstrong 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gilbert Arenas * 50 9-25 3-9 8-9 1 4 4 0 7 29 6 -
Jared Jeffries * 43 2-8 0-1 8-10 7 1 3 0 2 12 13 -
Larry Hughes * 43 6-22 3-5 7-9 13 3 2 1 5 22 14 -
Etan Thomas * 33 1-4 0-0 5-8 7 1 0 1 2 7 10 -
Mitchell Butler * 30 4-10 2-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Steve Blake * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 5 3 -
Brendan Haywood * 22 2-3 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 1 2 8 8 -
Lonny Baxter * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
Jerry Stackhouse * 8 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter