Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +6 (101-95). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 46 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 10 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 45 | 10-24 | 0-4 | 12-17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 38 | 4-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mitchell Butler * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 45 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Maciej Lampe * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter