Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (119-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 48 | 15-23 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 44 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 51 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 44 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 31 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter