Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Mike James * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Horry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter