Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (103-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Travis Best * | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 42 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 41 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 23 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter