Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -15 (90-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 40 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 40 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 31 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Reece Gaines * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Britton Johnsen * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter