Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -20 (81-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 5-18 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Wallace | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Brown * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 27 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 25 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Mitchell Butler * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter