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2004-03-20

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% - โœ—
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls +6 (87-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kurt Thomas * 37 8-10 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 17 13 -
Stephon Marbury * 36 4-18 1-3 1-2 1 9 1 0 4 10 -1 -
Anfernee Hardaway * 36 4-11 0-2 3-5 11 6 1 0 3 11 15 -
Shandon Anderson * 35 4-12 1-3 4-4 5 1 1 0 0 13 8 -
Vin Baker * 28 5-10 0-0 1-1 9 2 0 0 0 11 12 -
Nazr Mohammed * 20 2-4 0-0 2-6 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
Moochie Norris * 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 1 3 -
Tim Thomas * 12 3-8 1-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
DerMarr Johnson * 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Michael Sweetney * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 46 10-20 1-6 4-4 6 9 2 1 6 25 17 -
Kirk Hinrich * 40 2-11 1-4 4-4 4 8 2 1 1 9 12 -
Eddy Curry * 39 9-11 0-0 7-13 14 0 0 4 3 25 29 -
Antonio Davis * 33 4-9 0-0 3-4 6 3 1 2 1 11 13 -
Kendall Gill * 28 2-8 0-0 1-4 6 1 1 1 1 5 5 -
Linton Johnson * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 4 2 1 -
Tyson Chandler * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 0 4 9 -
Paul Shirley * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Ronald Dupree * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter