Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 46 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 11 | - |
| David Wesley * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 27 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| David West * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| George Lynch * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter