Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +17 (97-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 44 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Ward * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifford Robinson * | 41 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 40 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter