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2004-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 33 6-12 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 1 4 12 4 -
Jason Williams * 31 4-10 1-6 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 9 9 -
James Posey * 31 4-9 0-3 2-2 7 1 3 0 2 10 10 -
Stromile Swift * 30 7-13 0-0 5-5 4 0 0 0 1 19 9 -
Shane Battier * 28 1-8 0-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 4 1 -
Bonzi Wells * 25 5-11 0-0 6-7 2 2 1 0 0 16 10 -
Earl Watson * 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 3 0 2 0 -2 -
Bo Outlaw * 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 4 3 -
Jake Tsakalidis * 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Theron Smith * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jim Jackson * 43 6-15 2-8 6-6 5 5 3 0 2 20 16 -
Cuttino Mobley * 40 7-14 1-5 0-0 4 2 2 1 2 15 8 -
Steve Francis * 40 7-15 0-5 0-0 4 8 1 0 3 14 9 -
Ming Yao * 34 6-12 0-0 5-5 11 0 0 3 0 17 19 -
Maurice Taylor * 25 4-8 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 4 9 3 -
Kelvin Cato * 21 1-2 0-0 3-4 9 3 1 0 2 5 14 -
Scott Padgett * 16 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 8 -
Adrian Griffin * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Mark Jackson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -

* = starter