Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 36 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 32 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jerome James * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 41 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter