Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (100-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 39 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 39 | 10-21 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Reece Gaines * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Penigar * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 43 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 25 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter