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2004-03-07

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“

Actual: Toronto Raptors +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamaal Magloire * 43 6-13 0-0 11-13 21 0 0 3 2 23 32 -
P.J. Brown * 35 2-4 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 0 6 14 -
David Wesley * 30 3-8 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 1 3 8 2 -
Darrell Armstrong * 30 5-13 1-6 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 11 3 -
Jamal Mashburn * 30 3-14 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 9 -1 -
Baron Davis * 24 3-12 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 -7 -
George Lynch * 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Stacey Augmon * 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 1 3 -
Steven Smith * 12 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
David West * 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donyell Marshall * 43 6-15 2-8 0-0 14 1 2 0 0 14 16 -
Vince Carter * 42 10-24 3-5 3-3 8 8 3 1 4 26 18 -
Chris Bosh * 41 6-13 0-0 4-8 12 0 1 2 2 16 16 -
Morris Peterson * 32 5-10 4-8 3-5 2 0 0 0 1 17 8 -
Milt Palacio * 24 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 3 0 0 3 -
Rod Strickland * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 6 10 -
Jerome Moiso * 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Michael Curry * 12 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Dion Glover * 10 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter